The women’s competition is slated to take place from Thursday, August 3 through Sunday, August 6. There will be two days of competition before an initial cut down to 30. There will be an additional day of competition for those 30 women, then a final cut down to 20. The top-20 women will then finish the competition on Sunday.
Five of the top ten, and nine of the top 20 women from the 2022 CrossFit Games are not competing in Madison this year. That means big opportunities for several women to have career-best and career-defining finishes this season.
The Top Ten:
Place | Athlete |
1 | Laura Horvath |
2 | Annie Thorisdottir |
3 | Gabriela Migala |
4 | Danielle Brandon |
5 | Emma Lawson |
6 | Emma Cary |
7 | Alexis Raptis |
8 | Katrin Davidsottir |
9 | Amanda Barnhart |
10 | Jamie Simmonds |
Horvath’s to Lose
It feels like this is Laura Horvath’s year. She is, and should be, the favorite given her pedigree at the Games (two seconds places finishes and a third in the three traditional years she’s competed). None of the women who have beaten her in those seasons are the field (Tia-Clair Toomey all three times, Mallory O’Brien last year).
All-European Podium
I’m going with an all European Podium including two-time Games champion (2011 and 2012) Annie Thorisdottir, who is incredibly still very relevant in the conversation amongst the best in the world. And European Semifinal winner Gabriela Migala, who I expect to have a huge bounce back year after doing worse (8th) in 2022 than she did in 2021 (6th).
Teenage Presence
Two teenagers, both named Emma, are likely top-ten candidates. Lawson did so last year, finishing 6th as a rookie and should have similar success this season. Cary won the extremely competitive North America East Semifinal (five women from that competition are in my top ten picks) and will be looking to secure her first top-ten individual Games finish.
Returning Veterans
Two well known women in the sport who were not at the Games last year, Katrin Davidsdottir and Jamie Simmonds, make it into my top picks here. Davidsdottir seems like the slightly better bet than Simmonds, but I like both of them once we get to Games style programming.
Barnhart Bounces Back
Amanda Barnhart had three-straight top-ten Games finishes prior to last season when she took 14th. She looked amazing at Semis, seems to be thriving with HWPO, and is set up for a push back into the top-ten this year.
Spots 11-20
Photo Credit: Athlete’s Eye Photography
Place | Athlete |
11 | Karin Freyova |
12 | Arielle Loewen |
13 | Ellie Turner |
14 | Paige Powers |
15 | Bethany Flores |
16 | Emma McQuaid |
17 | Emily Rolfe |
18 | Alex Gazan |
19 | Matilde Garnes |
20 | Emma Tall |
Four More From Europe
Everyone who reads our stuff should know about the relative strength of the European women’s field to their number of qualifying spots. Despite the worldwide ranking and strength of field allocations, it didn’t reward them any more spots this year. As they’ve done every year since 2015, we expect more than 80% of their qualifiers in the top half of the field.
More Veterans Making a Comeback
Bethany Flores is perhaps the biggest wildcard in the field. However, if her back holds up, she is incredibly fit and should find her way into the top-20.
Emily Rolfe was at the Games last year, but only lasted one event due to a blood clot in her arm. She was 15th the year before and 18th in 2019. She has top-15 potential and yet most people aren’t talking about her.
Spots 21-30
Photo Credit: Athlete’s Eye Photography
Place | Athlete |
21 | Christine Kolenbrander |
22 | Manon Angonese* |
23 | Paige Semenza |
24 | Feeroozeh Saghafi |
25 | Baylee Rayl |
26 | Olivia Kerstetter* |
27 | Elisa Fuliano |
28 | Shelby Neal* |
29 | Seher Kaya |
30 | Victoria Campos |
First Rookies Show Up
Athletes with an * after their name are rookies at the 2023 CrossFit Games. So far I haven’t projected any inside the top half of the Games field. The first three show up here with Belgium’s Manon Angonese leading the way at a projected 22nd place finish. Teenage sensation Olivia Kerstetter checks in next. While Shelby Neal, who was seemingly good enough last season if not for the legless rope climb workout, brings a lot of intrigue as a sneaky possible top rookie in the women’s field.
Surviving the Cut
The initial cut will be on Friday night and remove the bottom-ten competitors at that point. So, if any of these women aren’t in the top 30 by then, they’ll have no chance to move up. In essence that means everyone ahead of here are my picks to make it to Saturday, while everyone low would see their competition end much sooner than they would like.
Spots 31-40
Photo Credit: Athlete’s Eye Photography
Place | Athlete |
31 | Ella Wunger* |
32 | Michelle Basnett |
33 | Sydney Wells* |
34 | Abigail Domit* |
35 | Rebecka Vitesson* |
36 | Alexia Williams* |
37 | Caroline Stanley* |
38 | Emily De Rooy* |
39 | Kelly Baker* |
40 | Shahad Budebs |
Mostly Rookies
Eight of these ten are rookies, leaving Michelle Basnett (2021) and Shahad Budebs (2019) as the only veterans amongst this group. In the last five seasons that had 40 women (2016-2018 and 2021-2022) there have never been eight rookies in the bottom 10. It is likely that a few among them will outperform these projections, as that happens every year. Part of the excitement in having a 20 to 25 % turnover rate every year is finding out who amongst them is about to break through.
What do you think?
Show comments / Leave a comment